Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000619 0.000711 0.000810 0.000922 0.001045 0.001178 0.001329
2025-05-18 0.000480 0.000608 0.000754 0.000932 0.001140 0.001376 0.001660
2025-05-25 0.000405 0.000548 0.000719 0.000936 0.001200 0.001510 0.001895
2025-06-01 0.000332 0.000479 0.000663 0.000905 0.001212 0.001582 0.002057
2025-06-08 0.000276 0.000423 0.000615 0.000878 0.001220 0.001643 0.002199
2025-06-15 0.000241 0.000389 0.000591 0.000875 0.001256 0.001737 0.002382
2025-06-22 0.000211 0.000361 0.000570 0.000873 0.001290 0.001828 0.002561
2025-06-29 0.000184 0.000331 0.000544 0.000863 0.001310 0.001899 0.002714
2025-07-06 0.000159 0.000302 0.000517 0.000846 0.001319 0.001954 0.002848
2025-07-13 0.000147 0.000291 0.000515 0.000866 0.001379 0.002077 0.003072
2025-07-20 0.000135 0.000279 0.000509 0.000879 0.001428 0.002187 0.003281
2025-07-27 0.000119 0.000259 0.000490 0.000869 0.001444 0.002251 0.003427
2025-08-03 0.000103 0.000237 0.000466 0.000851 0.001448 0.002298 0.003554
2025-08-10 0.000095 0.000228 0.000461 0.000863 0.001496 0.002408 0.003770
2025-08-17 0.000085 0.000216 0.000451 0.000866 0.001529 0.002498 0.003959
2025-08-24 0.000073 0.000195 0.000424 0.000838 0.001513 0.002515 0.004045
2025-08-31 0.000062 0.000176 0.000399 0.000812 0.001499 0.002532 0.004130
2025-09-07 0.000055 0.000166 0.000388 0.000809 0.001521 0.002605 0.004296
2025-09-14 0.000049 0.000156 0.000378 0.000808 0.001544 0.002679 0.004465
2025-09-21 0.000043 0.000145 0.000364 0.000797 0.001553 0.002730 0.004600
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000134 0.000348 0.000782 0.001551 0.002765 0.004712
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000131 0.000350 0.000800 0.001607 0.002891 0.004962
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000128 0.000349 0.000813 0.001653 0.003000 0.005189